@YouChanTheSheep the colonists could maybe have won if a miracle happened, but realistically defeat would have been much more likely. You’re right that the British had less reason to fight and faced difficulties with the whole having to get troops in at a time when sea travel was more difficult. And yes, some American tactics that the British deemed barbaric worked and helped the colonists. But the US was very very heavily reliant on the French, to the point victory without them would be super unlikely. Even if you throw out their troops they offered and the fact that they opened a second front in Europe, the colonists depended on them financially and for supplies. You say American made guns were superior, which they absolutely weren’t. For military purposes, they weren’t even close. They often weren’t made for war, and for other uses, and they lacked standardization and reliability. By the end of the war, an estimated 90% of guns used by colonial troops weren’t American made at all, they were French, who had guns much more suited to military engagements. And that was a theme throughout the war, primarily American troops fighting with equipment that is primarily French. Yes, American made weapons were used, and sometimes in ways the British wouldn’t think of, but they would be incredibly hindered if they had to supply all the weapons used by the colonial army. And that’s without even talking about probably one of the biggest points, which is gunpowder. At the start of the war, America had almost no gunpowder production, which is super essential obviously. They tried to increase it, but it was still extremely limited because they lacked important raw materials needed for its creation. That’s why, similar to the gun situation, over 75% of the gunpowder used by the colonists in the ending part war was from France, and a good amount of the rest was from other countries, including some stolen from Great Britain. Which gave the colonists an advantage because French gunpowder was regarded as the best gunpowder in the world, including the British. An extra advantage that they could not have gotten without the support of France, because even if they by some miracle managed to increase their domestic production, the quality would have been significantly worse. So yes, the British faced challenges that the colonists wouldn’t because their homeland was on another continent, but the US were so far from self sufficient in terms of materials needed for war that even with the challenges of Great Britain and their less passionate desire for the colonies, it’s highly doubtful the colonists could win without major help from another major power. And you also have to consider support (or lack thereof) of the general populous for the war. The colonial army didn’t have a standing army. Their army started off as volunteers who’d fight for some time, then go do other stuff, they maybe fight for some more time, and so on. At the start, plenty of the people didn’t even agree that there should be a war, or supported Great Britain. Either way, without European help, the war would have started of much worse for the colonists (more than it already did) based on all the things they lacked, so it’s unlikely that people would have wanted to continue a war that was going poorly for them, which could have also played a role in whether the war could continue. So yeah, overall it seems to me that an American victory was very very far from assured, because while the British faced big challenges, the colonists faced much bigger ones as a whole, ones that they could not manage on their own.